This blog is committed to the serious study and valid understanding of technical analysis and its objective application to stock selection, risk management and execution primarily in the context of trading stocks listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).

Friday, May 23, 2008

DJIA 5/22/08 STOCK MARKET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Even with today's 24pt advance, the Dow remains below the broken trendline and prior support for the second day and those using the 2-day filter will have accepted this break as significant and traded this signal appropriately. The March to May 2008 up trendline having been interrupted, we will continue to mindful of any near term breaks of prior support/resistance levels and the development of new ones. For now, the price objective becomes 12269 which is coincidentally the next visible support and the 68.1% retracement level of the recent short term uptrend. If you are long the Diamonds Trust Series 1(DIA:AMEX), an ETF designed to capture the price performance of the DJIA: SELL.

TRENDS
* PRIMARY UPTREND | Corrective wave | Prior support 11634 | Prior resistance 14030 |
* INTERMEDIATE DOWNTREND | Directional wave | Prior support 11634 | Prior resistance 13780 | Relapse below the previously broken down trendline | Break of important support level
* UNDEFINED MINOR TREND | Downswing | Prior support, Fibo retracement, and price objective 12269 | Prior resistance 13136 | Recently broken up trendline | Recently broken 12715 support level|

PRICE, TURNOVER & MARKET BREADTH
Close: 12,625.62 * Change: +24.43 (0.19%) * Volume: 659.4M * Net Advancing Issues: -341 * Net New Highs: -27 * Net Up Volume: +266,811,862

STOCK MARKET, ECONOMY & OTHER HEADLINES
AP|Stocks advance after two-day plunge; oil declines|Thur May 22, 5:39 pm ET
AP|Gov't home price index posts largest drop in 17-year history|Thur May 22, 3:22 pm ET
AP|Jobless claims drop to lowest level in 4 weeks|Thur May 22, 5:43 pm ET
Reuters|Oil Prices Settle Near $131 after Intraday Record| 22 May 2008 | 03:41 PM ET

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